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Autonomously execute capture-stage Price-to-Win (PTW) analysis against a pasted competitor list (3-7 named) +…
Autonomously execute capture-stage Price-to-Win (PTW) analysis against a pasted competitor list (3-7 named) + capability profile + customer signals + RFP type, producing four sign-off-ready deliverables (PTW Band Report, Per-Competitor Wrap Models, Sensitivity Analysis 9-Scenario Grid, Recommendation Memo with Capture Lead + Pricing Manager signature blocks) in ~30 minutes — collapsing 8-16 hours of PROPRICER-class analyst work into a single autonomous run on public-data inference.
Ships as one download · price-to-win-competitor-model.zip · 12 files
A redacted example of what this tool produces — so you can judge the quality before you buy.
Redacted, illustrative example. Names, agencies, and figures are fictional placeholders.
Cover — PTW Analysis
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Solicitation | SOL-25-R-0042 (NOAA Environmental Data Modernization) |
| Estimated value | $48M (5-yr) |
| RFP type | Best-Value Tradeoff |
| Posture | Best-Value-balanced |
| Competitors modeled | 5 |
| Firm | Northwind Technical Services LLC |
| Run | 8 phases COMPLETE · 0 retries |
HIGH-TRUST: This PTW analysis is based on PUBLIC DATA inference (USAspending + GSA CALC + BLS + SEC filings + pasted customer signals). It is NOT investment advice and contains NO insider information. Confidence bands reflect inference uncertainty. Pricing manager + Capture Lead sign-off required before final pricing. No FOUO/CUI/classified content accepted in intake.
| Fully-loaded blended wrap ($/hr) | 5-yr total | |
|---|---|---|
| LOW | $128.40 | $44.1M |
| TARGET |
Delivery · Download
Download the zip and add the agent definition — along with its bundled sub-agents and skills — to your Claude workspace. The README walks through wiring it together.
Runs on your existing Claude subscription — no extra setup.
HIGH-TRUST discipline. Where this tool produces pricing, compliance, or past-performance artifacts, FAR/DFARS guardrails and "FOR INTERNAL ESTIMATE USE — NOT A PROPOSAL PRICE" disclaimers are embedded in the output. It does not replace a qualified pricer, counsel, or color-team review.
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| $134.90 |
| $46.3M |
| HIGH | $141.20 | $48.5M |
Confidence interval: ±6%. Posture: Best-Value-balanced (FAR 15.101-1, profit 8–12%).
Key drivers: (1) median competitor wrap intersected with customer affordability ceiling; (2) Beacon (incumbent) inferred thinnest wrap; (3) affordability ceiling anchored to FY26 PB data-services mark; (4) MEDIUM confidence on two private competitors lacking SEC data.
| Competitor | Fringe | OH | G&A | Profit | Wrap mult. | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beacon Federal Solutions (incumbent) | 32% | 24% | 9% | 8% | 1.92 | HIGH |
| Cirrus Analytics | 30% | 27% | 11% | 10% | 2.05 | MEDIUM |
| Meridian Data Group | 34% | 22% | 8% | 9% | 1.95 | MEDIUM |
| Tidewater Geospatial | INSUFFICIENT INPUT | — | — | — | — | LOW |
| Summit Federal (SEC 10-K) | 33% | 26% | 12% | 9% | 2.08 | HIGH |
Beacon HIGH confidence: GSA CALC awarded rates + USAspending contract-mix. Tidewater LOW: all-private, no public obligations — INSUFFICIENT INPUT, no fabrication. Per-competitor appendices follow each row with source URLs + BLS OEWS SOC anchors.
Rows = competitor pricing move; columns = customer affordability move. Each cell = TARGET wrap ($/hr).
| Afford −10% | Afford baseline | Afford +10% | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Comp −5% | $126.10 (cell 1, worst) | $129.80 (cell 2) | $133.20 (cell 3) |
| Comp baseline | $130.50 (cell 4) | $134.90 (cell 5, most likely) | $138.40 (cell 6) |
| Comp +5% | $134.00 (cell 7) | $137.90 (cell 8) | $141.20 (cell 9, best) |
Interpretation: Cell 5 most likely; cell 1 worst-case (aggressive competitor + tight budget) bottoms at $126.10 — below our TARGET LOW, so a fallback is required. Fallback plan: if Q&A reveals a competitor undercut toward cell 1, drop to LOW band ($128.40) and trade non-price (migration-uptime discriminator) to hold Best-Value position rather than chase price.
HIGH-TRUST disclaimer (repeated verbatim at top of memo — see cover.)
Recommended bid: TARGET $134.90/hr blended · $46.3M / 5-yr · ±6% · Best-Value-balanced.
Rationale (excerpt): Median competitor wrap (excluding LOW-confidence Tidewater) sits at $2.00 multiplier; intersected with the affordability ceiling ($48.5M PB mark) this supports a TARGET below ceiling with 9% profit. The incumbent's thinner inferred wrap (1.92) is the primary downward pressure; we offset on non-price discriminators rather than matching to LPTA depth (this is a tradeoff, not LPTA).
Key risks: (1) Tidewater unmodeled — surprise undercut → fallback to LOW band; (2) affordability mark could be cut in markup → re-run Phase 3; (3) two MEDIUM-confidence wraps → widen interval if SEC data unavailable.
FAR 15.404 cost-realism note: TARGET sits above the inferred competitor floor; a Best-Value evaluation is unlikely to find it unrealistically low. Confirm against own IGCE before final pricing.
| Signature | Name | Date |
|---|---|---|
| Capture Lead | _________________ | _______ |
| Pricing Manager | _________________ | _______ |
HIGH-TRUST disclaimer (repeated verbatim at bottom of memo — see cover.)
Audit trail (excerpt): USAspending query 2026-06-01T14:03:22Z · GSA CALC 14:05:10Z · BLS OEWS 14:06:44Z · SEC EDGAR (Summit 10-K) 14:08:01Z. Every wrap component, affordability figure, and band number traced to a source URL or paste-in anchor. Banned-words sweep: clean.
Illustrative sample, not a real engagement.