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Scores a federal capability statement against a single RFP and returns a 0-100 composite match score,…
Scores a federal capability statement against a single RFP and returns a 0-100 composite match score, per-dimension subscores, a gap analysis, a win-probability band, and a routed next-step recommendation. Anchors scoring to the named Section L instructions and Section M evaluation factors extracted verbatim from the solicitation text, applies binary kill triggers for set-aside ineligibility and NAICS mismatch on small-business set-asides, weights Past Performance Relevance heaviest at 25 percent, handles LPTA pivots, recompete bonuses, and teaming aggregation, and caps Sources Sought scoring at 80 with a HYPOTHESIS flag. Triggers on phrases like "capability match score", "cap statement fit", "match score this cap statement", "fit score for opportunity", "cap-stmt vs RFP triage", "match score RFP", and "capability vs RFP". Built for solo BD owners, small primes, and prosumers who need a 5-minute first-pass triage feeding the Pursuit Decision Matrix.
Ships as one download · capability-statement-match-score.zip · 7 files
A redacted example of what this tool produces — so you can judge the quality before you buy.
Redacted, illustrative example. Names, agencies, and figures are fictional placeholders.
This is a representative example of the five-block scorecard the skill returns in one pass: a 0–100 composite match score, the per-dimension subscore breakdown, a gap analysis with remediations, the win-probability band rationale, and a routed next-step recommendation.
MATCH SCORE — Ocean Observing Data Engineering & Cyber Support
Agency: Department of Commerce / NOAA / Office of Ocean Observations
Vendor: Northwind Technical Services LLC
Date: 2026-06-01
Notice type: rfp
Evaluation method: Best Value Tradeoff
OVERALL MATCH SCORE: 71/100
WIN-PROB BAND: HIGH (HIGH ≥ 65 / MED 40-64 / LOW < 40)
RECOMMENDATION: Run Tool #5 Pursuit Decision Matrix for full bid/no-bid.
| # | Dimension | Weight | Subscore (0-100) | Weighted |
|---|------------------------------------|--------|------------------|----------|
| 1 | NAICS Fit | 15% | 100 | 15.0 |
| 2 | Set-Aside Fit | 15% | 100 | 15.0 |
| 3 | Past Performance Relevance | 25% | 75 | 18.75 |
| 4 | Key Personnel & Certifications | 10% | 50 | 5.0 |
| 5 | Contract Vehicles | 10% | 75 | 7.5 |
| 6 | Capability Text Overlap | 15% | 75 | 11.25 |
| 7 | Section L/M Anchored Fit | 10% | 50 | 5.0 |
| | TOTAL | 100% | -- | 77.5 |
Composite (after caps/bonus): 71/100
Delivery · Download
Download the zip, unzip it into your Claude skills folder, and invoke it by name. The bundled README includes a one-line verification step to confirm it loaded.
Runs on your existing Claude subscription — no extra setup.
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Footnote: composite rounded from weighted 77.5 down to 71 after the missing-data adjustment in the footer (incomplete key-personnel detail in the cap statement); no kill trigger fired.
| Dimension | Status | Evidence | Remediation |
|-----------------------------------|----------|----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|-------------------------------------------------------------------|
| 1. NAICS Fit | Present | Cap statement Corporate Data block lists primary NAICS 541512; solicitation NAICS 541512. | Verify size standard ($34M) against current revenue. |
| 2. Set-Aside Fit | Present | Section L sets aside for SDVOSB; cap statement Corporate Data block shows VA-verified SDVOSB. | None — eligibility confirmed. |
| 3. Past Performance Relevance | Weak | Section M.2 requires 3 citations ≥ $1M within 3 yrs; cap statement PP block has 2 ($6.4M FY25, $2.1M FY24). | Add a third PP citation ≥ $1M within 3 yrs, or team for additional PP. |
| 4. Key Personnel & Certifications | Weak | Section L requires PM with PMP + active TS; cap statement names a PMP PM but clearance is Secret. | Substitute or recruit a TS-cleared PM, or confirm TS is preferred not required. |
| 5. Contract Vehicles | Present | Section L lists GSA MAS (IT) as acceptable; cap statement holds GSA MAS (IT). | None. |
| 6. Capability Text Overlap | Present | Cap statement Core Competencies block matches draft scope §C.3.1–C.3.4 (ingest, QA, ATO). | Edit cap statement to echo Section M factor phrasing verbatim. |
| 7. Section L/M Anchored Fit | Weak | Section M Factor 1 (Technical) significantly more important than Price; cap statement thin on transition approach. | Add a transition-approach proof point to the Core Competencies block. |
Status values: Present / Weak / Missing.
WIN-PROB BAND: HIGH (composite 71/100)
Top fit drivers:
- NAICS 541512 exact match and VA-verified SDVOSB set-aside eligibility (Corporate Data block).
- GSA MAS (IT) vehicle held; Section L lists it as acceptable.
- Capability text overlaps draft scope §C.3.1–C.3.4 (Core Competencies block).
Top gaps:
- Only 2 PP citations vs Section M.2 requirement of 3 within 3 years.
- PM clearance is Secret; Section L key-personnel quals prefer active TS.
- Thin transition-approach coverage against Section M Factor 1 (Technical), weighted heaviest.
Evaluation method: Best Value Tradeoff
Section M anchored: Factor 1 Technical Approach; Factor 2 Past Performance; Factor 3 Price.
No binary kill trigger fired.
NEXT STEP: Run Tool #5 Pursuit Decision Matrix for full bid/no-bid.
Routing logic (per match score band):
- HIGH (≥ 65) → Run Tool #5 Pursuit Decision Matrix for full bid/no-bid
- MED (40-64) → Run Tool #6 Capture Readiness audit; then Tool #5
- LOW (< 40) → Decline this cycle OR run 14-day capture sprint to upgrade fit
Optional follow-ups:
- Tool #8 (Win Theme Workshop) — band is HIGH; capture window open, themes pay off now.
- Tool #15 (Resume Tailoring) — Dimension 4 weak on a named-PM clearance gap.
Methodology: 7-dimension weighted match score anchored to Section L/M factors extracted from
the RFP text. Default weights: NAICS 15 / Set-Aside 15 / PP 25 / Key Personnel 10 / Vehicles
10 / Capability Text 15 / L/M Anchored 10.
Score range estimate due to missing data: cap statement key-personnel block omits clearance
investigation dates and full certification list.
The composite above is a clean weighted score. If the RFP had required a certification the
vendor did not hold, Block 1 would carry BINARY KILL — Set-Aside Fit = 0 and the composite
would be capped at 25. A NAICS mismatch on a small-business set-aside caps the composite at 30.
A Sources Sought notice caps the composite at 80 with a HYPOTHESIS flag.